Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.097074 0.150699 0.214254 0.292571 0.384285 0.486452 0.607172
2026-01-11 0.041859 0.105672 0.197432 0.325078 0.487824 0.680605 0.919465
2026-01-18 0.019321 0.081841 0.188127 0.348777 0.564202 0.827980 1.162700
2026-01-25 0.005232 0.057191 0.168175 0.351664 0.609986 0.935877 1.358005
2026-02-01 0.000002 0.031089 0.133594 0.324927 0.610307 0.982413 1.475002
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012590 0.099707 0.290463 0.593896 1.003221 1.556799
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005107 0.082987 0.279619 0.607945 1.061551 1.683944
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002245 0.076543 0.285490 0.645795 1.151142 1.850721
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000382 0.066731 0.282306 0.668473 1.219434 1.989723
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.052617 0.266205 0.668755 1.255653 2.086242
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.056226 0.290547 0.734728 1.383862 2.303738
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.059905 0.315142 0.801320 1.513236 2.523184
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.058391 0.328291 0.851557 1.623269 2.722348
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.065120 0.362720 0.938275 1.786271 2.993344
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.068211 0.387882 1.009484 1.927312 3.235336
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.062914 0.390932 1.043419 2.015504 3.407593
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.047303 0.362586 1.022277 2.024045 3.473331
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.031526 0.325952 0.983311 2.004758 3.500264
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024788 0.314401 0.987333 2.047036 3.609104
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.023061 0.320656 1.023894 2.137399 3.783288
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.019314 0.317264 1.042030 2.200205 3.919951
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.013347 0.300095 1.032854 2.221505 3.999521
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.015947 0.326041 1.107255 2.369127 4.252762